Explanation of Colt Cannon's Race Prophet Buttons

Along the top of the program you will see a number of buttons, the following is a description of those buttons.

1 . First Fraction: A Chart showing, in Feet Per Second, a comparison of how fast these horse ran their first fraction in the race used for comparison purposes. (no fraction speed is given for races of 5 furlongs or less)

2. Second Fraction: Chart showing, in Feet Per Second, a comparison of how fast these horse ran their second fraction (often referred to as "turn time") in the race used for comparison purposes. (no fraction speed is given for races of 5 furlongs or less)

3. Leader at the Half: A chart showing a comparison of the horses in the race showing the expected leader at the half and his approximate margin in lengths over each of the other horses. A strong predictive tool for sprint races. This chart is most accurate when all the horses comparison races are of a very similar distance. When compared distances vary greatly it's accuracy will suffer considerably.  Note: When you scratch a horse, the program will recalculate all of the information and show the new leader and beaten lengths as if the scratched horse were not in the race.

4. Third Fraction: A Chart showing, in Feet Per Second, a comparison of how fast these horse ran their third fraction in the race used for comparison purposes. An important fraction for predicting Route Race winners. (no fraction speed is given for races of 5 furlongs or less)

5. AP: A chart that shows all 3 fractions averaged (in feet per second). Used in all races, best used in helping to predict the possible order of finish in longer route races – 10 furlongs and greater (1 and 1/4 miles or greater).

6. FPS: A chart showing the Feet Per Second that each horse ran over the entire distance of his comparison race. Sometimes the other chart areas may not return a value even when a horse does have a previous race, usually because the distance was too short to divide into fractions. FPS chart will always return a value if the horse has a previous race. This chart is the most important speed chart I use when  predicting the possible order of finish in races of less than 5 furlongs.

7. Sprint: A chart of the probable best speed for a sprint race (Races of at least 5.5 furlongs but less than 8 furlongs). This chart combines and averages the 1st and 3rd Fractions of the race. If odds allow my personal preference is to bet two horses to win, or hedge one of the two top horses out, of course your betting would depend on your money management. * (see below)

8. Route:  A chart of the probable best speed for a route race. (Races of 8 furlongs and greater). This chart combines and averages the 2nd and 3rd Fractions of a race. If odds allow my personal preference is to bet two horses to win, or hedge one of the two top horses out, of course your betting would depend on your money management. * (see below)

9. Energy: A chart showing the approximate % of a horses total energy that was used in the first half of the previous race that is being used for comparison purposes.

10. Fitness: Exclusive to Race Prophet - A chart showing the fitness of each horse based on calculations on the horses recent race and workout data (last 30 days). Horses of average fitness are "0" or near zero. More fit horses will have a higher positive number. Less fit horses will have a lower negative number, with -10 being the lowest, meaning that a horse hasn't had a race or workout in the last 30 days. Though horses with a negative rating still win, they are most likely to do so at short distances. The more arduous the race, the more important a neutral or positive rating is.

11. Class Differential: (or Purse Differential) A chart showing the difference (in dollars) between the purse of today's race and each horses most previous race. (a "+" number means a horse is stepping up in class, a " - " number means the horse is racing for a smaller purse today than his last race). This is an important chart . Prove it to yourself by going through a number of races to see how often a horse that was moving down in class won the race. Most winning horses are racing at an equal or lower level than their previous race.

12. Icons or "flags": Exclusive to Race Prophet These marks may appear next to a horses name in the projected order of finish. These icons appear to remind you of things that may affect a horses performance in the race. When you move your cursor over the icon it will tell you why the icon appears.  These reminders are not extreme danger signals there to tell you to disqualify a horse, just that a horse has something in his or her data that you should be aware of. 

A. "50" Day Icon -----means that this horse hasn't raced in at least 50 days. Days away and fitness are more important the greater the distance and the higher the class of competition. You can view a chart of all the horses "Days since last Race" under -- Other Charts.

B. "30" Day Icon -----means that this horse hasn't raced in at least 30 days. Days away and fitness are more important the greater the distance and the higher the class of competition. You can view a chart of all the horses "Days since last Race" under -- Other Charts.

C. Down Arrow Icon -----means that this horse may be making what is known as a "negative drop" in class. This down arrow appears in claiming races when a horse has raced and done well at higher classed claiming races in the very recent past is now dropping down significantly in class. If he has competed well at higher class levels, why is he dropping in class today? He may have a problem and the owner or trainer is offering him up to be claimed. Or he could just be dropping to try to get a win.

D. Distance of Comparison Race: Next to the horses name in the projected order of finish is the distance in furlongs of the race used for comparison purposes. We place this information here so that you can easily see if a horses comparison race was of a shorter distance than his rivals and if his FPS numbers should be "taken with a grain of salt".

*(It is still up to the user to handicap these top choices based on your knowledge and your observations at your track -- For instance, By default I choose the order of finish in 6.5 and 7 furlongs races as if they are sprint races. At your track a 6.5 furlong race or a 7 furlong race may run most often like a sprint while at another track they may run like a route race (it can depend on the track)--medium distance races like these can be highly profitable if you can determine how they run at a particular track.)

Colt Cannon Pace Charts

Exclusive to Race Prophet. Fast and Slow refers to the early pace in the race----any race can go off at a fast, or slow pace. I use these charts on every race. These charts show an ability rating for these horses in a "fast" paced race or in a "slow" paced race. For many years my approach to handicapping has been to first determine how a race will set up, then determine your contenders based on that "set up". These charts will become more important the longer you use the Race Prophet, and the more adept you become at finding and interpreting  the clues as to how the pace of the race will set up. The numbers on these charts are derived from Feet Per Second calculations but are not to be considered as such because several calculations and algorithms are applied to those beginning numbers along with additional information such as class. If there is not enough data to complete the calculations the program returns a "0". Once you can spot a sprint that will be run at a "slow" or tactical pace or when you can spot a route race that is set up to run at a "fast" pace---the payoffs can be huge.

12. Fast Pace -----(proprietary calculation)-----a chart that evaluates the relative ability of each horse to compete in a race in which the early pace is fast and one or two horses try to dominate the pace from the outset. (most often corresponds to sprint races, but not always)

13. Slow Pace ----(proprietary calculation)------a chart that evaluates the relative ability of each horse to compete in a race in which the early pace is slow, or a race that is a tactical race, and no one makes a major move until late in the race. (most often corresponds to route races, but even sprints or medium distances races often set up to run this way.)

14. Long Shot Locator ----Exclusive to Race Prophet---(proprietary calculation)----this function in the program looks for horses (with desirable odds) which show the greatest ability to improve against this set of horses.  The Long Shot page will show up to 4 horses that meet the criteria---- horses that can win against this field at longer odds (10/1 or greater). Any horses shown are virtually even in their ability to improve and upset one of our favorites or at least finish in the money. Long shots don't win often and  I know of no sure way of knowing when these horses are more likely to hit, all I can say is observe the results of the Long Shot Locator over time and use them or disregard them at your own discretion. One observation I have made is that a long shot is far more likely to win when there are only  1 or 2 horses shown rather than when it identifies 3 or 4 horses.

15. Other Charts ----we have included a button from which a drop down list will appear. From here you can generate  17 more comparative charts of everything from earnings, a horse's most recent Bris Pace Ratings, morning line, the distance of  the last workout to what the track variant was on their compared race. Included in the charts we create another exclusive feature--- a Bris run style display. Besides giving you their running style it has a color bar, each color corresponds to a style, now you can see at a glance what types of runners are in the race. A great handicapping tool! Many of these charts have to do with exclusive Brisnet information, for a pdf file of definitions go to www.brisnet.com/library/premexpl.pdf

Even though Race Prophet shows a predicted order of finish, based on your settings, it is done strictly on speed----- not fitness, or a horses suitability to run at this class level, his jockey or weight carried or any of the handicapping rules that you may have. You will find that our order of finish does very well, but by using the other charts and your own handicap capabilities, you can even improve the percentage of wins and enjoy the satisfaction and fun of having done so by using your own thoughts and skills.

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